Alavés vs Real Madrid – Prediction, Lineups & Stats

Deportivo Alavés and Real Madrid are set to face off at Estadio de Mendizorroza, with both clubs entering the match in markedly different positions within the La Liga table. Real Madrid occupy second place with 63 points, while Alavés find themselves in the lower half of the standings. The fixture represents a significant test for both sides, with the capital club seeking to maintain their title challenge while Alavés aim to consolidate their mid-season position.

Recent form suggests Real Madrid enter as favorites, though their campaign has included notable setbacks against several opponents. Alavés, meanwhile, broke a three-game losing streak with a victory over Real Sociedad and have demonstrated considerable resilience on home soil. The match carries implications for La Liga’s evolving title race, with Barcelona currently holding a four-point advantage over Real Madrid at the summit.

Alavés vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betting analysts have identified Real Madrid as the likely victors, with some prediction models assigning approximately 64 percent probability to a Madrid victory. The most frequently cited scorelines include a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 Real Madrid win, reflecting expectations of a competitive encounter despite the gulf in league positions.

• Real Madrid have won all six of their most recent La Liga encounters against Alavés
• Some forecasts suggest a narrow 2-1 victory for the visitors, while others predict a more defensive 1-1 stalemate
• Real Madrid possess the best away record in La Liga this season despite recent domestic setbacks
• Alavés have lost 67 percent of their last six home league fixtures
• The visitors have endured defeats to Celta Vigo, Rayo Vallecano, and Girona in recent weeks
• Alavés recently held Atlético Madrid to a draw, demonstrating their capacity to compete against top-tier opposition

Alavés vs Real Madrid Lineups

Both clubs are expected to field competitive XIs, though each side faces distinct selection considerations heading into the encounter. Alavés manager Eduardo Coudet appears likely to maintain consistency, while Real Madrid under Xabi Alonso must navigate an injury-hit squad while integrating several attacking talents.

Alavés Predicted Lineup

Coudet is anticipated to name an unchanged starting eleven following the victory over Real Sociedad. The formation is expected to deploy a 4-1-4-1 structure with Antonio Sivera anchoring the defense behind a back four of Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, and Parada. Santiago Guevara will operate as the holding midfielder, shielding the defense while facilitating transition play.

The attacking quartet of Calebe, Ibáñez, Suárez, and Rebbach will support lone striker Lucas Boyé, who has emerged as a pivotal figure in the Alavés attack. Boyé’s movement and finishing capability represent the hosts’ primary threat against a Real Madrid defense that has shown vulnerability this season.

The predicted lineup for Alavés: Sivera; Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Parada; Guevara; Calebe, Ibáñez, Suárez, Rebbach; Boyé.

Real Madrid Predicted Lineup

Real Madrid are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Thibaut Courtois returning between the posts. The defensive line will feature Valverde, Tchouaméni, Asencio, and Huijsen, providing a blend of physicality and technical ability across the back four.

The midfield partnership of Ceballos and Arda Güler offers creativity and industry, while the attacking trio of Rodrygo, Jude Bellingham, and Vinícius Jr. provides significant firepower behind striker G. García. All three forwards were listed as available despite the injury concerns affecting the squad.

The predicted lineup for Real Madrid: Courtois; Valverde, Tchouaméni, Asencio, Huijsen; Ceballos, Güler; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinicius Jr.; G. García.

For broader context on tactical approaches across European competitions, readers may explore the Sassuolo vs SSC Napoli Lineups analysis, which examines different formation strategies in contemporary football.

Alavés vs Real Madrid Results

The most recent confirmed encounter between these clubs resulted in a narrow 1-0 victory for Real Madrid, played at Mendizorroza during the 2024-25 season. That victory formed part of Madrid’s dominant head-to-head record against Alavés in recent La Liga campaigns.

Regarding the widely referenced 5-0 scoreline, no definitive evidence of such a result appears in current La Liga records between these clubs. Historical encounters have typically favored Real Madrid, but margin-of-victory claims require verification through official La Liga documentation.

Real Madrid’s seven-game winning streak in La Liga fixtures against Alavés underscores the historical disparity between the clubs. However, Alavés demonstrated their capability against elite opposition by securing a recent draw against Atlético Madrid, suggesting they cannot be dismissed despite their inferior head-to-head record.

Alavés vs Real Madrid Stats

Statistical analysis reveals contrasting profiles between the two clubs entering this fixture. Real Madrid’s second-place standing reflects their quality despite an inconsistent run of form, while Alavés occupy a precarious mid-table position that offers little margin for complacency.

• Real Madrid have accumulated 63 points from their 26 La Liga matches this season
• Alavés have earned between 18 and 30 points from 15 or more league matches
• Alavés have conceded the second-fewest goals at home in La Liga this season
• The hosts have not trailed at halftime in any of their eight home matches this term
• Alavés have lost only two of their eight home games at Estadio de Mendizorroza
• Real Madrid possess the best away record in La Liga despite recent struggles
• Madrid trail league leaders Barcelona by four points with several matches remaining

The data suggests Alavés’ home advantage could prove significant, particularly given their defensive solidity. Real Madrid’s vulnerability on the road, combined with their injury concerns, creates potential for an upset or at minimum a closely contested match.

Alavés vs Real Madrid Live Updates

For supporters seeking real-time match information, multiple platforms offer live scoring capabilities and minute-by-minute commentary. Official league channels and dedicated sports statistics services provide the most reliable access to in-play developments.

The match scheduled for April 13, 2026 at Estadio de Mendizorroza represents a significant fixture in the La Liga calendar. Kickoff time and broadcast details should be confirmed through official club channels or league announcements in the lead-up to the encounter. For those interested in other high-profile matches, you can find information on Квитки на матч ПСЖ проти Інтера.

Readers interested in additional match previews and tactical analysis may find the Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto Lineups coverage informative for understanding different strategic approaches across European leagues.

Key Timeline

Understanding the broader context of this fixture requires examining the sequence of events and upcoming scheduling considerations that frame the encounter.

1. April 2025: Real Madrid secured a 0-1 victory over Alavés in the most recent confirmed league meeting between the clubs
2. December 2025: Preview coverage emerged for an upcoming fixture at Estadio de Mendizorroza
3. April 2026: The current scheduled date for the La Liga fixture between Alavés and Real Madrid
4. Ongoing: Real Madrid continue their title challenge, trailing Barcelona by four points in the La Liga standings

What Is Confirmed and What Remains Unclear

League Context and Implications

This fixture carries significance beyond the immediate three points at stake. Real Madrid’s pursuit of Barcelona in the title race leaves no margin for dropped points against mid-table opposition. The four-point gap separating the capital club from the summit adds pressure to every result, particularly against teams that might be perceived as inferior on paper.

Alavés, meanwhile, occupy a position that offers neither the security of a higher finish nor the urgency of a relegation battle. This mid-table existence presents both opportunity and challenge; the opportunity lies in playing without excessive pressure, while the challenge involves maintaining motivation against elite opponents.

The presence of Xabi Alonso in the Real Madrid technical area adds another dimension to the match. Appointed to guide the club through a transitional period, Alonso faces mounting pressure following a series of disappointing results. A convincing victory at Mendizorroza would provide crucial momentum as Madrid approach the business end of the season.

Sources and Credibility

Information for this preview has been drawn from multiple established sports journalism outlets and statistical platforms. Goal.com provided betting insights and probability assessments, while Sports Illustrated offered detailed tactical analysis and lineup predictions.

Real Madrid face Alavés at Estadio de Mendizorroza with Xabi Alonso’s side looking to bounce back from recent domestic setbacks while maintaining their pursuit of Barcelona in the La Liga title race.

— Sports Illustrated, La Liga Coverage

Statistical data and head-to-head analysis were supplemented by Forebet and Sports Mole, both of which contributed prediction models and form assessments. Live scoring capabilities and current standings information were drawn from Sofascore.

Summary

Deportivo Alavés welcome Real Madrid to Estadio de Mendizorroza in what promises to be a compelling La Liga encounter. Real Madrid enter as favorites despite recent struggles, holding second place and possessing the division’s best away record. Alavés, buoyed by ending a three-game losing streak and demonstrating impressive home defensive solidity, will seek to exploit any vulnerabilities in the visitors’ performance. The predicted lineups suggest attacking intent from both sides, with Lucas Boyé leading Alavés’ challenge against a Real Madrid side featuring Vinícius Jr., Jude Bellingham, and Rodrygo. Head-to-head history heavily favors the capital club, though Alavés’ recent draw against Atlético Madrid demonstrates their potential to trouble elite opposition.

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